Poll Analysis From Chuck Muth
In my ever-so-humble opinion, the only way Gov. Jim Gibbons has a prayer of winning the Republican nomination in the June 8 GOP gubernatorial primary is to demonstrate beyond a reasonable doubt to Republican primary voters that he can win against Rory Reid in November.
That became a bit more difficult with yesterday’s Rasmussen polling results. According to those results, Republican Brian Sandoval would crush Reid the Younger, 53-35 percent. However, mini-Reid would roll over the incumbent 44-36 percent.
Many GOP primary voters who have a conservative soft spot for Gibbons simply are not going to take the chance of turning the state over to Son of Harry in November. And the sooner such GOP primary voters accept that reality, the sooner many of them may begin to take a serious look at the other conservative alternative in the race, Mike Montandon, who the poll shows would defeat Reid 42-37 percent.
However, on the critical issue of taxes, Montandon hasn’t shown any real difference from Sandoval. Both “say” they won’t raise taxes, but neither is secure enough in that position to actually put it in writing. And as we all know, we’ve heard “read my lips” promises from politicians before.
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